US-Iran Tension, Gulf Tension, Gulf War Scenario
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Recently, Iranian Foreign Minister Javed Zarèef pledges to respond rapidly if any offense is noted from the US war machines at beginning of 2021. This proclamation became overt when the US bombers hovered on the Persian Gulf near Bahrain and Qatar a couple of days ago. Presently, the situation in the Gulf is highly militarized.
Suspicions and maneuverability are increasing day by day. The peace and stability in the Middle East seem to worsen. Under such a scenario, confrontation may convert into escalation at any time. In case of war, the Middle East will complete the spring of wars in the region.
Under a war, the whole region will be in jeopardy. The people approximately 700 million will suffer in diversified directions. Iranian economic condition will worsen which has experienced very negative impacts till the end of 2020 in the wake of economic sanctions over the nuclear issue. If this situation exacerbates further, the entire population will be unable to avail of basic needs. The government will be incapacitated to usher any developmental project. It may not manage to alleviate the poverty-driven miseries of the people.
Likewise, the passageway of oil from The Gulf will cease to function that will have diverse effects on the global scale in term of economic deterioration. On the parallel hand, the war will be very disastrous for the US economy too which has experienced a bitter downfall in the wake of the unending wars. The US public will also suffer. Their economic condition will pass through a bitter experience.
On the military aspect, the aggressive developments in
the Gulf will amass horrors in the region which is burning since 1991. The said
war will also have negative impacts on the neighboring countries particularly
Pakistan due to the ideological association of the 20% people of Pakistan with
Iran. Violence in Afghanistan will also intensify. No War
Therefore, it is reasonable to suggest that the ongoing maneuvers and the respective acerbic statements will lead to another saga of oppression and instability in the region which the responsible leaders of the two states should manage to defuse for the prime interest of the region as well as the international community.
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